Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.400587 0.520984 0.652047 0.803320 0.971297 1.150529 1.354733
2025-05-04 0.261048 0.426757 0.626049 0.873674 1.165054 1.490461 1.875400
2025-05-11 0.187337 0.370659 0.608525 0.918969 1.297308 1.730798 2.253914
2025-05-18 0.123521 0.308646 0.570121 0.928494 1.379632 1.908293 2.557090
2025-05-25 0.063456 0.229197 0.492641 0.875774 1.375908 1.976173 2.725679
2025-06-01 0.025152 0.163560 0.420356 0.818954 1.358620 2.021267 2.861911
2025-06-08 0.007998 0.123687 0.377703 0.795654 1.378761 2.107656 3.043575
2025-06-15 0.002120 0.104651 0.365322 0.812791 1.449945 2.255788 3.298553
2025-06-22 NaN 0.080705 0.337909 0.803873 1.483723 2.355308 3.493109
2025-06-29 NaN 0.057862 0.305398 0.782964 1.498381 2.428676 3.654122
2025-07-06 NaN 0.053485 0.312232 0.824327 1.599286 2.612373 3.951329
2025-07-13 NaN 0.050761 0.322247 0.870638 1.707091 2.805040 4.259846
2025-07-20 NaN 0.047955 0.333276 0.921990 1.827156 3.020177 4.604966
2025-07-27 NaN 0.050942 0.360543 1.002025 1.989851 3.292847 5.024565
2025-08-03 NaN 0.047434 0.368967 1.049418 2.105374 3.503688 5.366554
2025-08-10 NaN 0.037706 0.356641 1.059974 2.167369 3.644429 5.620881
2025-08-17 NaN 0.020111 0.308541 1.003299 2.129149 3.651917 5.706661
2025-08-24 NaN 0.007858 0.261528 0.942218 2.080592 3.643065 5.769660
2025-08-31 NaN 0.002856 0.235577 0.917113 2.083359 3.700680 5.915086
2025-09-07 NaN 0.001513 0.231878 0.935577 2.152261 3.847221 6.173970
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000180 0.215335 0.925970 2.177009 3.933464 6.355305
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.193928 0.903433 2.180264 3.989621 6.497391
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.202995 0.947997 2.289596 4.191257 6.827365